Depression, realism, and the overconfidence effect : are the sadder wiser when predicting future actions and events ?

@article{Dunning1991DepressionRA,
  title={Depression, realism, and the overconfidence effect : are the sadder wiser when predicting future actions and events ?},
  author={D. Dunning and A. Story},
  journal={Journal of Personality and Social Psychology},
  year={1991},
  volume={61},
  pages={521-532}
}
Do depressed individuals make more realistic judgments than their nondepressed peers in real world settings? Depressed and nondepressed Ss in 2 studies were asked to make predictions about future actions and outcomes that might occur in their personal academic and social worlds. Both groups of Ss displayed overconfidence, that is, they overestimated the likelihood that their predictions would prove to be accurate. Of key importance, depressed Ss were less accurate in their predictions, and thus… Expand
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