Demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa: how big will the economic dividend be?

@article{Eastwood2011DemographicTI,
  title={Demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa: how big will the economic dividend be?},
  author={Robert Eastwood and M ichelle Lipton},
  journal={Population studies},
  year={2011},
  volume={65 1},
  pages={9-35}
}
In mid-demographic-transition, many Asian countries enjoyed a large demographic 'dividend': extra economic growth owing to falling dependant/workforce ratios, or slower natural increase, or both. We estimate the dividend, 1985-2025, in sub-Saharan Africa and its populous countries. Dependency and natural increase peaked around 1985, 20 years after Asia. The UN projects an acceleration of the subsequent slow falls but disregards slowish declines in young-age mortality and thus, we argue… CONTINUE READING
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