Demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa: how big will the economic dividend be?

  title={Demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa: how big will the economic dividend be?},
  author={Robert Eastwood and M ichelle Lipton},
  journal={Population studies},
  volume={65 1},
In mid-demographic-transition, many Asian countries enjoyed a large demographic 'dividend': extra economic growth owing to falling dependant/workforce ratios, or slower natural increase, or both. We estimate the dividend, 1985-2025, in sub-Saharan Africa and its populous countries. Dependency and natural increase peaked around 1985, 20 years after Asia. The UN projects an acceleration of the subsequent slow falls but disregards slowish declines in young-age mortality and thus, we argue… CONTINUE READING
Highly Cited
This paper has 27 citations. REVIEW CITATIONS

From This Paper

Figures, tables, and topics from this paper.


Publications citing this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 15 extracted citations

The Quiet Rise of Medium-Scale Farms in Malawi

Ward Anseeuw, Thomas S. Jayne, Richard Kachule, John Kotsopoulos
View 1 Excerpt


Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 91 references

Evolution of recent economic-demographic modeling: a synthesis

A. Kelley, R. Schmidt
Journal of Population Economics 18(2): • 2005
View 6 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

Stall in fertility decline in Eastern African countries: regional analysis of patterns, determinants and implications

Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences • 2009
View 4 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision*Population Database

Available: http://esa.un. org/unpp/index.asp?panel 2 • 2009
View 4 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

Geography, demography, and economic growth in Africa.

Brookings papers on economic activity • 1998
View 3 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

The emerging fertility transition in subSaharan Africa

B. Cohen
World Development • 1998
View 5 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

More People, Less Erosion: Environmental Recovery in Kenya

M. Tiffen, M. Mortimore, F. Gichuki.
Chichester: Wiley. • 1994
View 4 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

An economic approach to fertility in Britain since 1860.

Journal of population economics • 1989
View 5 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

Death and development

Peter Lorentzen, John McMillan, Romain Wacziarg
View 1 Excerpt
Highly Influenced

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…