Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change.

@article{Polasky2011DecisionmakingUG,
  title={Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change.},
  author={Stephen Polasky and Stephen R. Carpenter and Carl S Folke and Bonnie L. Keeler},
  journal={Trends in ecology & evolution},
  year={2011},
  volume={26 8},
  pages={
          398-404
        }
}
Global change issues are complex and the consequences of decisions are often highly uncertain. The large spatial and temporal scales and stakes involved make it important to take account of present and potential consequences in decision-making. Standard approaches to decision-making under uncertainty require information about the likelihood of alternative states, how states and actions combine to form outcomes and the net benefits of different outcomes. For global change issues, however, the… CONTINUE READING
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