Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

@article{Nijsse2019DecadalGT,
  title={Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity},
  author={Femke J. M. M. Nijsse and P. Cox and C. Huntingford and M. Williamson},
  journal={Nature Climate Change},
  year={2019},
  volume={9},
  pages={598-601}
}
  • Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, P. Cox, +1 author M. Williamson
  • Published 2019
  • Environmental Science
  • Nature Climate Change
  • Climate-related risks are dependent not only on the warming trend from GHGs, but also on the variability about the trend. However, assessment of the impacts of climate change tends to focus on the ultimate level of global warming1, only occasionally on the rate of global warming, and rarely on variability about the trend. Here we show that models that are more sensitive to GHGs emissions (that is, higher equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)) also have higher temperature variability on… CONTINUE READING
    10 Citations

    Figures from this paper.

    A Statistical Tool to Generate Potential Future Climate Scenarios for Hydrology Applications
    An emergent constraint
    • 3
    • PDF

    References

    SHOWING 1-10 OF 31 REFERENCES
    What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?
    • 7
    • PDF
    Energy budget constraints on climate response
    • 277
    • PDF
    Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing
    • 470
    • PDF
    Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget
    • 129
    • PDF
    Stochastic Models of Climate Extremes: Theory and Observations
    • 16
    • PDF