Death tolls of COVID-19: Where come the fallacies and ways to make them more accurate

@article{Lin2020DeathTO,
  title={Death tolls of COVID-19: Where come the fallacies and ways to make them more accurate},
  author={Timothy P. H. Lin and Kelvin H. Wan and Suber S. Huang and Jost B. Jonas and David S C Hui and Dennis Shun-Chiu Lam},
  journal={Global Public Health},
  year={2020},
  volume={15},
  pages={1582 - 1587}
}
ABSTRACT The death toll of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) sparked much controversy since its advent in December 2019. Underestimation because of under testing and deaths happening outside the hospitals were important causes. Bold revisions of the diagnostic criteria leading to dramatic changes in death tolls by different governments were observed in attempts to generate more accurate estimates. On the other hand, the influence, censorship and manipulation on case and death data from… 
View on Taylor & Francis
tandfonline.com
7 Citations
Background Citations
4

7 Citations

Citation Type

Citation Type

Demographic and public health characteristics explain large part of variability in COVID-19 mortality across countries.
TLDR
The number of people who will die from COVID-19 is largely given by factors that cannot be drastically changed as an immediate reaction to the pandemic and authorities should focus on modifiable variables, e.g. the number of hospital beds.
Economic Role of Population Density during Pandemics—A Comparative Analysis of Saudi Arabia and China
TLDR
If high-density Chinese regions are more susceptible to Covid-19 than low-density Saudi cities, the authors argue that Neo-Malthusian models can be used as a basis for reducing the impacts of the coronavirus disease on the economic growth in countries with low population density.
COVID-19 death: A novel method of improving its identification when a patient has multiple diagnoses
TLDR
A novel approach, termed the modified NJ model II, is expected to improve the objectivity and reproducibility of the assigned primary cause of death in a deceased who had multiple diagnoses, which may include COVID-19.
Eliciting Beliefs about COVID-19 Prevalence and Mortality: Epidemiological Models Compared with The Street
"When My Information Changes, I Alter My Conclusions." What Can We Learn From the Failures to Adaptively Respond to the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic and the Under Preparedness of Health Systems to Manage COVID-19?
*Correspondence to: Elisabeth Paul, Email: Elisabeth.Paul@ulb.ac.be Copyright: © 2020 The Author(s); Published by Kerman University of Medical Sciences. This is an open-access article distributed…
High-Minority Nursing Homes Disproportionately Affected by COVID-19 Deaths
TLDR
From a policy perspective, nursing homes, that serve primarily minority populations, may need additional resources, such as, funding for staffing and personal protective equipment in the face of the pandemic.
Improving the definition of COVID-19-related deaths
  • F. Southwick
  • Mathematics
    The Journal of infectious diseases
  • 2021

References

SHOWING 1-9 OF 9 REFERENCES
Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020.
TLDR
Excess deaths provide an estimate of the full COVID-19 burden and indicate that official tallies likely undercount deaths due to the virus.
A year of terror and a century of reflection: perspectives on the great influenza pandemic of 1918–1919
TLDR
The pathophysiology associated with the 1918 virus and its predilection for the young and healthy, the rise of influenza therapeutic research following the pandemic, and the level of preparedness for future pandemics are discussed are discussed.
Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak - New York City, March 11-May 2, 2020.
TLDR
An estimate of all-cause excess deaths that have occurred in NYC in the setting of widespread community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is provided to provide a nonspecific measure of the severity or impact of pandemics and public health emergencies.
1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics
TLDR
New information about the 1918 virus is emerging, for example, sequencing of the entire genome from archival autopsy tissues, but, the viral genome alone is unlikely to provide answers to some critical questions.
Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918–20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis
Fangcang shelter hospitals: a novel concept for responding to public health emergencies
The end of ‘cordon sanitaire’ in Wuhan: the role of non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19
The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Lessons Learned and Not-Introduction to the Special Section.
A Dictionary of Epidemiology (DRAFT)
  • 2014