Data cloning: easy maximum likelihood estimation for complex ecological models using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.
@article{Lele2007DataCE,
title={Data cloning: easy maximum likelihood estimation for complex ecological models using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.},
author={Subhash R. Lele and Brian A. Dennis and Frithjof Lutscher},
journal={Ecology letters},
year={2007},
volume={10 7},
pages={
551-63
}
}We introduce a new statistical computing method, called data cloning, to calculate maximum likelihood estimates and their standard errors for complex ecological models. Although the method uses the Bayesian framework and exploits the computational simplicity of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, it provides valid frequentist inferences such as the maximum likelihood estimates and their standard errors. The inferences are completely invariant to the choice of the prior distributions…
236 Citations
Hierarchical models in ecology: confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, and model selection using data cloning.
- BiologyEcology
- 2009
This work reanalyzes part of Gause's classic Paramecium data with state-space population models containing both environmental noise and sampling error to demonstrate the use of these tools with complex ecological models in a frequentist context.
A data cloning algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimates in spatial generalized linear mixed models
- Computer ScienceComput. Stat. Data Anal.
- 2011
Approximate maximum likelihood estimation using data-cloning ABC
- Computer ScienceComput. Stat. Data Anal.
- 2017
Estimability and Likelihood Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed Models Using Data Cloning
- Mathematics
- 2010
Maximum likelihood estimation for Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM), an important class of statistical models with substantial applications in epidemiology, medical statistics, and many other…
A Hybrid Data Cloning Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Stochastic Volatility Models
- Mathematics
- 2013
Abstract: In this article, we analyze a maximum likelihood estimator using Data Cloning for Stochastic Volatility models. This estimator is constructed using a hybrid methodology based on Integrated…
Alternative estimating procedures for multiple membership logit models with mixed effects: indirect inference and data cloning
- Computer Science
- 2014
This work implements a data cloning algorithm specific for the case of multiple-membership logit models with random effects, and proposes an auxiliary model having the same dimension of parameter space as the target model, which is particularly convenient to reach good estimates very fast.
Bayesian inference and data cloning in population projection matrices
- Mathematics
- 2013
Discrete time models are used in Ecology for describing the evolution of an agestructured population. Usually, they are considered from a deterministic viewpoint but, in practice, this is not very…
Bayesian inference and data cloning in the calibration of population projection matrices
- MathematicsCommun. Stat. Simul. Comput.
- 2017
A stochastic model is analyzed for the case in which the dynamics of the population is described by means of a projection matrix and fertility rates and survival rates are unknown parameters which are estimated by using a Bayesian approach and also data cloning, which is a simulation-based method especially useful with complex hierarchical models.
Estimating multiple-membership logit models with mixed effects: indirect inference versus data cloning
- Computer Science
- 2017
A DC algorithm specifically for multiple-membership logit models with random effects is implemented, and an auxiliary model with the same dimension of parameter space as the target model is proposed, which is particularly convenient to reach good estimates very fast.
Maximum Likelihood Estimation Using Bayesian Monte Carlo Methods
- Mathematics
- 2015
The objective of this thesis is to give a general account of the MCMC estimation approach
dubbed data cloning, specically performing maximum likelihood estimation
via Bayesian Monte Carlo methods.…
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 88 REFERENCES
Sampling variability and estimates of density dependence: a composite-likelihood approach.
- Environmental ScienceEcology
- 2006
An application of the composite-likelihood method for estimation of the parameters of the Gompertz model in the presence of sampling variability is discussed, shown to have significantly less computational burden, making it possible to analyze large spatial time-series data.
BETTER INFERENCES FROM POPULATION-DYNAMICS EXPERIMENTS USING MONTE CARLO STATE-SPACE LIKELIHOOD METHODS
- Environmental Science
- 2003
This paper presents general methods for fitting structured population models that can incorporate both process noise (stochastic dynamics) and observation error (inaccurate data) and compares them to GLMs for testing population-dynamics hypotheses from experiments.
OF BUGS AND BIRDS: MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO FOR HIERARCHICAL MODELING IN WILDLIFE RESEARCH
- Computer Science
- 2002
The basic ideas of MCMC and software BUGS (Bayesian inference using Gibbs sampling) are introduced, stressing that a simple and satisfactory intuition for MCMC does not require extraordinary mathemat- ical sophistication.
Annealing Markov chain Monte Carlo with applications to ancestral inference
- Mathematics, Computer Science
- 1995
This work proposes MCMC methods distantly related to simulated annealing, which simulate realizations from a sequence of distributions, allowing the distribution being simulated to vary randomly over time.
Bayesian capture-recapture methods for error detection and estimation of population size: Heterogeneity and dependence
- Mathematics
- 2001
SUMMARY This paper considers estimation of the unknown size N of a population based on multiple capture-recapture samples. We extend the Bayesian multiple recapture model to accommodate possible…
ESTIMATING DENSITY DEPENDENCE, PROCESS NOISE, AND OBSERVATION ERROR
- Mathematics
- 2006
We describe a discrete-time, stochastic population model with density depend ence, environmental-type process noise, and lognormal observation or sampling error. The model, a stochastic version of…
HIERARCHICAL BAYES FOR STRUCTURED, VARIABLE POPULATIONS: FROM RECAPTURE DATA TO LIFE‐HISTORY PREDICTION
- Economics
- 2005
Understanding population dynamics requires models that admit the complexity of natural populations and the data ecologists obtain from them. Populations possess structure, which may be defined as…
HIERARCHICAL MODELING OF POPULATION STABILITY AND SPECIES GROUP ATTRIBUTES FROM SURVEY DATA
- Environmental Science
- 2002
Many ecological studies require analysis of collections of estimates. For example, population change is routinely estimated for many species from surveys such as the North American Breeding Bird…
Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Predicting The Spread of Ecological Processes
- Environmental Science
- 2003
It is demonstrated by example that an analytical diffusion models can serve as motivation for the hierarchical model for invasive species, and can be utilized to predict, spatially and temporally, the relative population abundance of House Finches over the eastern United States.
Monte Carlo State-Space Likelihoods by Weighted Posterior Kernel Density Estimation
- Computer Science
- 2004
An MC kernel likelihood (MCKL) method is presented that estimates classical likelihoods up to a constant by weighted kernel density estimates of Bayesian posteriors and two methods for reducing mode bias are proposed.




