Creative productivity: A predictive and explanatory model of career trajectories and landmarks.

@article{Simonton1997CreativePA,
  title={Creative productivity: A predictive and explanatory model of career trajectories and landmarks.},
  author={Dean Keith Simonton},
  journal={Psychological Review},
  year={1997},
  volume={104},
  pages={66-89}
}
The author developed a model that explains and predicts both longitudinal and cross-sectional variation in the output of major and minor creative products. The model first yields a mathematical equation that accounts for the empirical age curves, including contrasts across creative domains in the expected career trajectories. The model is then extended to account for individual differences in career trajectories, such as the longitudinal stability of cross-sectional variation and the… 

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