Counterfactual Probabilities: Computational Methods, Bounds and Applications

@article{Balke1994CounterfactualPC,
  title={Counterfactual Probabilities: Computational Methods, Bounds and Applications},
  author={Alexander Balke and Judea Pearl},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={1994},
  volume={abs/1302.6784}
}
  • Alexander Balke, Judea Pearl
  • Published in UAI 1994
  • Mathematics, Computer Science
  • Evaluation of counterfactual queries (e.g., "If A were true, would C have been true?") is important to fault diagnosis, planning, and determination of liability. In this paper we present methods for computing the probabilities of such queries using the formulation proposed in [Balke and Pearl, 1994], where the antecedent of the query is interpreted as an external action that forces the proposition A to be true. When a prior probability is available on the causal mechanisms governing the domain… CONTINUE READING

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