Cost-Effective Control of Plant Disease When Epidemiological Knowledge Is Incomplete: Modelling Bahia Bark Scaling of Citrus

@inproceedings{Cunniffe2014CostEffectiveCO,
  title={Cost-Effective Control of Plant Disease When Epidemiological Knowledge Is Incomplete: Modelling Bahia Bark Scaling of Citrus},
  author={Nik J. Cunniffe and Francisco F. Laranjeira and Franco M. Neri and R. Erik DeSimone and Christopher A. Gilligan},
  booktitle={PLoS Computational Biology},
  year={2014}
}
A spatially-explicit, stochastic model is developed for Bahia bark scaling, a threat to citrus production in north-eastern Brazil, and is used to assess epidemiological principles underlying the cost-effectiveness of disease control strategies. The model is fitted via Markov chain Monte Carlo with data augmentation to snapshots of disease spread derived from a previously-reported multi-year experiment. Goodness-of-fit tests strongly supported the fit of the model, even though the detailed… CONTINUE READING
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