Corpus ID: 213004499

Containment strategy for an epidemic based on fluctuations in the SIR model

@article{Bittihn2020ContainmentSF,
  title={Containment strategy for an epidemic based on fluctuations in the SIR model},
  author={Philip Bittihn and Ramin Golestanian},
  journal={arXiv: Populations and Evolution},
  year={2020}
}
  • Philip Bittihn, Ramin Golestanian
  • Published 2020
  • Biology, Physics
  • arXiv: Populations and Evolution
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has created a challenging situation where governing authorities are faced with the complex decision of what the appropriate measures are given the existing information, and how much containment can be justified given the uncertainties involved with the future development of the spread of infection. A typical course of action usually involves waiting until a critical condition is reached and then using this to justify implementing severely restrictive measures. Building on… CONTINUE READING

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    Note that for simplicity of the presentation we are using the long time limit of the extinction probability to define p ext 1 rather than P0(t) evaluated at a relevant time scale