Consequences of health trends and medical innovation for the future elderly.

  title={Consequences of health trends and medical innovation for the future elderly.},
  author={Dana P. Goldman and Baoping Shang and Jayanta Bhattacharya and Alan M. Garber and Michael D. Hurd and Geoffrey F. Joyce and Darius N. Lakdawalla and Constantijn W. A. Panis and Paul G. Shekelle},
  journal={Health affairs},
  volume={24 Suppl 2},
Recent innovations in biomedicine seem poised to revolutionize medical practice. At the same time, disease and disability are increasing among younger populations. This paper considers how these confluent trends will affect the elderly's health status and health care spending over the next thirty years. Because healthier people live longer, cumulative Medicare spending varies little with a beneficiary's disease and disability status upon entering Medicare. On the other hand, ten of the most… CONTINUE READING

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