Conditionals: A Theory of Meaning, Pragmatics, and Inference
@article{JohnsonLaird2002ConditionalsAT, title={Conditionals: A Theory of Meaning, Pragmatics, and Inference}, author={Philip N. Johnson-Laird and Ruth M. J. Byrne}, journal={Psychological Review}, year={2002}, volume={109}, pages={646-678} }
You reason about conditional relations because much of your knowledge is conditional. If you get caught speeding, then you pay a fine. If you have an operation, then you need time to recuperate. If you have money in the bank, then you can cash a check. Conditional reasoning is a central part of thinking, yet people do not always reason correctly. The lawyer Jan Schlictmann in a celebrated trial (see Harr, 1995, pp. 361–362) elicited the following information from an expert witness about the…
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