Computation of probabilistic hazard maps and source parameter estimation for volcanic ash transport and dispersion

@article{Madankan2014ComputationOP,
  title={Computation of probabilistic hazard maps and source parameter estimation for volcanic ash transport and dispersion},
  author={Reza Madankan and S. Pouget and Puneet Singla and Marcus Bursik and Jonathan Dehn and Matthew D. Jones and Abani K. Patra and Michael Pavolonis and E. Bruce Pitman and Tarunraj Singh and Peter W. Webley},
  journal={J. Comput. Physics},
  year={2014},
  volume={271},
  pages={39-59}
}
Volcanic ash advisory centers are charged with forecasting the movement of volcanic ash plumes, for aviation, health and safety preparation. Deterministic mathematical equations model the advection and dispersion of these plumes. However initial plume conditions - height, profile of particle location, volcanic vent parameters - are known only approximately at best, and other features of the governing system such as the windfield are stochastic. These uncertainties make forecasting plume motion… CONTINUE READING

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