Comparison of ARIMA and GM(1,1) models for prediction of hepatitis B in China

@inproceedings{Wang2018ComparisonOA,
  title={Comparison of ARIMA and GM(1,1) models for prediction of hepatitis B in China},
  author={Y Wang and Zhiwei Shen and Yu Jiang},
  booktitle={PloS one},
  year={2018}
}
BACKGROUND Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a major public health threat in China for China has a hepatitis B prevalence of more than one million people in 2017 year. Disease incidence prediction may help hepatitis B prevention and control. This study intends to build and compare 2 forecasting models for hepatitis B incidence in China. METHODS Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and grey model GM(1,1) were adopted to fit the monthly incidence of hepatitis B in China… CONTINUE READING

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