Comparing regional and provincial-wide COVID-19 models with physical distancing in British Columbia

  title={Comparing regional and provincial-wide COVID-19 models with physical distancing in British Columbia},
  author={Geoffrey McGregor and Jennifer Tippett and Andy T. S. Wan and Mengxiao Wang and Samuel W. K. Wong},
  journal={AIMS Mathematics},
We study the effects of physical distancing measures for the spread of COVID-19 in regional areas within British Columbia, using the reported cases of the five provincial Health Authorities. Building on the Bayesian epidemiological model of Anderson et al. [1], we propose a hierarchical regional Bayesian model with time-varying regional parameters between March to December of 2020. In the absence of COVID-19 variants and vaccinations during this period, we examine the regionalized basic… 



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