Climate science: The investment forecast

  title={Climate science: The investment forecast},
  author={R. Schnur},
  • R. Schnur
  • Published 2002
  • Environmental Science, Medicine
  • Nature
New studies predict that the risk of extreme rainfall over Europe and Asian monsoon regions is increasing, with more floods likely worldwide. Such long-range forecasting is pushing at the limit of current climate models. 

Figures and Topics from this paper

Impacts of global warming on hydrological cycles in the Asian monsoon region
The hydrologic changes and the impact of these changes constitute a fundamental global-warming-related concern. Faced with threats to human life and natural ecosystems, such as droughts, floods, andExpand
Potential Changes in Hydrologic Hazards Under Global Climate Change
The water cycle is vital to life and ecosystems. The water cycle regulating climate stability and variability has complex interactions within the climate system and plays a basic role in it,Expand
Since 1997, rainfall has been measured by using tipping-bucket rain gauges in a mountainous area as a part of GAME-Tropics (the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Asian MonsoonExpand
Extreme rainfall events : Vulnerability analysis for disaster management and observation system design
A high-resolution analysis of heavy rainfall episodes over the Indian region reveals a number of hotspots of vulnerability; in particular, the semiarid region in northwest India emerges as a high-vulnerability area in terms of extreme rainfall events. Expand
Estimation of climate change impacts on hydrology and floods in Finland
Aalto University, P.O. Box 11000, FI-00076 Aalto Author Noora Veijalainen Name of the doctoral dissertation Estimation of climate change impacts on hydrology and floods in FinlandExpand
Hydrological modelling of urban catchments under climate change for the design of a spatial decision support system to mitigate flooding using pervious pavements meeting the principles of sustainability
First of all, I want to express my gratitude to the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Com-petitiveness for financing my doctoral studies through the research project “Hydrological Rehabilitation ofExpand
An Evaluation of the Statistics of Rainfall Extremes in Rain Gauge Observations, and Satellite-Based and Reanalysis Products Using Universal Multifractals
Confidence in the estimation of variations in the frequency of extreme events, and specifically extreme precipitation, in response to climate variability and change is key to the development ofExpand
Floods in the IPCC TAR Perspective
Recent floods have become more abundant and more destructive than ever in many regions of the globe. Destructive floods observed in the 1990s all over the world have led to record-high materialExpand
Climate Change – Past, Present and Future
Local climate is a major determinant of both the composition and behavior of a region's ecosystems and of the infrastructure and culture of human society residing within the region. Hence, climaticExpand
Is precipitation in northern New England becoming more extreme
The objective of this study was to investigate the presence of trends in extreme precipitation. (denoted MAXP and defined as the annual maximum daily precipitation depth) time series for coastalExpand


Climate change 2001 : the scientific basis
Summary for policymakers Technical summary 1. The climate system - an overview 2. Observed climate variability and change 3. The carbon cycle and atmospheric CO2 4. Atmospheric chemistry andExpand
Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate
The recent emergence of a statistically significant positive trend in risk of great floods is consistent with results from the climate model, and the model suggests that the trend will continue. Expand
Changes in the Extremes in an Ensemble of Transient Climate Simulations with a Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean GCM
Abstract The extremes of surface temperature, precipitation, and wind speed and their changes under projected changes in radiative forcing are examined in an ensemble of three transient climateExpand
Quantifying the risk of extreme seasonal precipitation events in a changing climate
It is estimated that the probability of total boreal winter precipitation exceeding two standard deviations above normal will increase by a factor of five over parts of the UK over the next 100 years, and similar increases in probability for the Asian monsoon region in boreal summer. Expand
An Introduction to Trends in Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Observations, Socioeconomic Impacts, Terrestrial Ecological Impacts, and Model Projections*
Weather and climatic extremes can have serious and damaging effects on human society and infrastructure as well as on ecosystems and wildlife. Thus, they are usually the main focus of attention ofExpand
Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts.
Results of observational studies suggest that in many areas that have been analyzed, changes in total precipitation are amplified at the tails, and changes in some temperature extremes have been observed. Expand
Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
The predictability of weather and climate forecasts is determined by the projection of uncertainties in both initial conditions and model formulation onto flow-dependent instabilities of the chaoticExpand
Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
Foreword Preface Introduction Summary for policymakers Technical summary 1. Assessment of observed changes and responses in natural and managed systems 2. New assessment methodologies and theExpand