Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe.

@article{Thuiller2005ClimateCT,
  title={Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe.},
  author={Wilfried Thuiller and Sandra Lavorel and Miguel B. Ara{\'u}jo and Martin T. Sykes and Iain Colin Prentice},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
  year={2005},
  volume={102 23},
  pages={
          8245-50
        }
}
  • W. Thuiller, S. Lavorel, +2 authors I. Prentice
  • Published 7 June 2005
  • Geography, Medicine
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Climate change has already triggered species distribution shifts in many parts of the world. Increasing impacts are expected for the future, yet few studies have aimed for a general understanding of the regional basis for species vulnerability. We projected late 21st century distributions for 1,350 European plants species under seven climate change scenarios. Application of the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources Red List criteria to our projections shows that… 
21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe
Continental-scale assessments of 21st century global impacts of climate change on biodiversity have forecasted range contractions for many species. These coarse resolution studies are, however, of
Climate change hastens the urgency of conservation for range-restricted plant species in the central-northern Mediterranean region
With the consensus that human activities are leading to dangerous interference in Earth’s climate, there has been growing policy pressure for clear quantification and attribution of the resulting
Shifting Global Invasive Potential of European Plants with Climate Change
TLDR
The shifts and changes identified in this study suggest strongly that biological communities will see dramatic reorganizations in coming decades owing to shifting invasive potential by nonnative species.
Effects of climate change on threatened Spanish medicinal and aromatic species: predicting future trends and defining conservation guidelines
TLDR
This paper used ecological niche modeling to predict future changes in the distribution of 41 medicinal plants included in the 2013 assessment of threatened species in Spain, and generated climate-based niche models for each medicinal species and projected them for each decade from 2010 until 2080.
Climate and land use change impacts on plant distributions in Germany
TLDR
N niche-based modelling to project the distribution of 845 European plant species for Germany using three different models and three scenarios of climate and land use changes up to 2080 suggested large effects over the coming decades, with consequences for the German flora.
Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions and diversity patterns of European mammals
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts an increase in global temperatures of between 1.4°C and 5.8°C during the 21st century, as a result of elevated CO2 levels. Using
Projected impacts of climate change on regional capacities for global plant species richness
TLDR
It is found that across all analysed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emission scenarios, relative changes in CSR increase with increased projected temperature rise and independent of direction, all changes in regional CSR will probably induce on-site species turnover and thereby be a threat to native floras.
Climate change, plant migration, and range collapse in a global biodiversity hotspot: the Banksia (Proteaceae) of Western Australia
Climate change has already altered global patterns of biodiversity by modifying the geographic distributions of species. Forecasts based on bioclimatic envelop modeling of distributions of species
Using species distributions models for designing conservation strategies of Tropical Andean biodiversity under climate change
Abstract Biodiversity in the Tropical Andes is under continuous threat from anthropogenic activities. Projected changes in climate will likely exacerbate this situation. Using species distribution
...
1
2
3
4
5
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 59 REFERENCES
Future projections for Mexican faunas under global climate change scenarios
TLDR
Using a genetic algorithm and museum specimen occurrence data, ecological niche models are developed for 1,870 species occurring in Mexico and projected onto two climate surfaces modelled for 2055, suggesting that severe ecological perturbations may result.
Vulnerability of South African animal taxa to climate change
The responsiveness of South African fauna to climate change events is poorly documented and not routinely incorporated into regional conservation planning. We model the likely range alterations of a
Extinction risk from climate change
TLDR
Estimates of extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.
Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change
Although bioclimatic modelling is often used to estimate potential impacts of likely climate changes, little has been done to assess the reliability and variability of projections. Here, using four
Assessing alpine plant vulnerability to climate change: a modeling perspective
The potential ecological impact of ongoing climate change has been much discussed. High mountain ecosystems were identified early on as potentially very sensitive areas. Scenarios of upward species
Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change
Increasing concern over the implications of climate change for biodiversity has led to the use of species–climate envelope models to project species extinction risk under climatechange scenarios.
Climate change and habitat destruction: a deadly anthropogenic cocktail
  • J. Travis
  • Environmental Science, Medicine
    Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences
  • 2003
TLDR
A sharp threshold in habitat availability exists below which a species rapidly becomes extinct, and a similar threshold exists for the rate of climate change as has been observed for habitat loss—patch occupancy remains high up to a critical rate ofClimate change, beyond which species extinction becomes likely.
Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch
TLDR
It is shown that not only is the marine pelagic community responding to climate changes, but also that the level of response differs throughout the community and the seasonal cycle, leading to a mismatch between trophic levels and functional groups.
Do we need land‐cover data to model species distributions in Europe?
Aim  To assess the influence of land cover and climate on species distributions across Europe. To quantify the importance of land cover to describe and predict species distributions after using
...
1
2
3
4
5
...