Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought

  title={Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought},
  author={C. P. Kelley and Shahrzad Zarrin Mohtadi and Mark A. Cane and Richard Seager and Yochanan Kushnir},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  pages={3241 - 3246}
Significance There is evidence that the 2007−2010 drought contributed to the conflict in Syria. It was the worst drought in the instrumental record, causing widespread crop failure and a mass migration of farming families to urban centers. Century-long observed trends in precipitation, temperature, and sea-level pressure, supported by climate model results, strongly suggest that anthropogenic forcing has increased the probability of severe and persistent droughts in this region, and made the… 
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