Climate change impact assessment: Uncertainty modeling with imprecise probability

  title={Climate change impact assessment: Uncertainty modeling with imprecise probability},
  author={S. Ghosh and P. Mujumdar},
  journal={Journal of Geophysical Research},
  • S. Ghosh, P. Mujumdar
  • Published 2009
  • Environmental Science
  • Journal of Geophysical Research
  • Hydrologic impacts of climate change are usually assessed by downscaling the General Circulation Model (GCM) output of large-scale climate variables to local-scale hydrologic variables. Such an assessment is characterized by uncertainty resulting from the ensembles of projections generated with multiple GCMs, which is known as intermodel or GCM uncertainty. Ensemble averaging with the assignment of weights to GCMs based on model evaluation is one of the methods to address such uncertainty and… CONTINUE READING
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