Climate change and the Syrian civil war, Part II: The Jazira’s agrarian crisis

  title={Climate change and the Syrian civil war, Part II: The Jazira’s agrarian crisis},
  author={Jan Selby},

Climate War in the Middle East? Drought, the Syrian Civil War and the State of Climate-Conflict Research

  • T. Ide
  • Political Science
    Current Climate Change Reports
  • 2018
Purpose of ReviewThis article reviews existing evidence for a climate-conflict link in Syria and examines how the respective debate reproduces three important shortcomings of climate-conflict

Drought-Induced Civil Conflict Among the Ancient Maya

The influence of climate change on civil conflict and societal instability in the premodern world is a subject of much debate, in part because of the limited temporal or disciplinary scope of case

Pathways to water conflict during drought in the MENA region

As hydro-meteorological hazards are predicted to become more frequent and intense in the future, scholars and policymakers are increasingly concerned about their security implications, especially in

Weather, wheat, and war: Security implications of climate variability for conflict in Syria

We examine how Syria’s local growing seasons and precipitation variability affected patterns of violence during the country’s civil war (2011–19). Among Syria’s 272 subdistricts (nahiyah), we study

Climatic Stress, Internal Migration, and Syrian Civil War Onset

Syria recently suffered a once in 500-year meteorological drought followed by one of the worst conflicts of the twenty-first century. We exploit subnational variation in drought impact to examine

Societal drought vulnerability and the Syrian climate-conflict nexus are better explained by agriculture than meteorology

Droughts are often suspected to increase the risk of violent conflict through agricultural production shocks, and existing studies often explore these links through meteorological proxies. In Syria,

The Origins of the Syrian Conflict

Does climate change cause conflict? Did it cause the Syrian uprising? Some policymakers and academics have made this claim, but is it true? This study presents a new conceptual framework to evaluate

An analysis of the links between Water and Migration in the Syrian crisis

  • Economics
At a time when water crises are considered one of the most critical global challenges and the number of refugees have reached an all-time high, there is a growing need to understand the interlinkages

Syrian crisis repercussions on the agricultural sector: Case study of wheat, cotton and olives

This paper aims to outline the consequences of the Syrian conflict on the land use/cultivated area, yield and production of the main crops: wheat, cotton, and olives. To achieve the study goal

The Role of Subsidy Policies in Triggering the Uprising in Syria

Original Research Article The debate over the triggering factors of the Syrian crisis in 2011 has not yet been resolved. The literature dealt with possible natural, economic, institutional,



Water, Drought, Climate Change, and Conflict in Syria

AbstractThe devastating civil war that began in Syria in March 2011 is the result of complex interrelated factors. The focus of the conflict is regime change, but the triggers include a broad set of

Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought

It is shown that the recent decrease in Syrian precipitation is a combination of natural variability and a long-term drying trend, and the unusual severity of the observed drought is here shown to be highly unlikely without this trend.

The Role of Drought and Climate Change in the Syrian Uprising: Untangling the Triggers of the Revolution

This article examines the role of drought and climate change as triggers of the Syrian uprising that started in March 2011. It frames the 2006–10 drought that struck north-eastern Syria in the

Syria: Climate Change, Drought and Social Unrest

Syria’s current social unrest is, in the most direct sense, a reaction to a brutal and out-of-touch regime and a response to the political wave of change that began in Tunisia early last year.

Domestic Concerns and the Water Conflict over the Euphrates-Tigris River Basin

Resolution of conflicts over the sharing of water resources in the Middle East has emerged over the past decade as one of the fundamental issues for peace and stability in the region. The disputes

Did We See It Coming?: State Fragility, Climate Vulnerability, and the Uprisings in Syria and Egypt

This article examines how climate change, drought, environmental conditions, and natural resource management contributed to instability in Syria and Egypt leading up to the events of 2011. It further

Beyond scarcity: Rethinking water, climate change and conflict in the Sudans

Differences in resource management affects drought vulnerability across the borders between Iraq, Syria, and Turkey

This study investigates the 2007-2009 Fertile Crescent drought in the border region of Syria, Iraq and Turkey from an agricultural perspective using satellite based vegetation data combined with

The Climate Wars Myth

The first decade of the 21st century was the hottest since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. Global warming is real and, if present trends continue, its possible effects worry publics and