Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change.

@article{Gosling2009ClimateCA,
  title={Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change.},
  author={Simon N Gosling and Glenn McGregor and Jason A Lowe},
  journal={International journal of biometeorology},
  year={2009},
  volume={53 1},
  pages={31-51}
}
Previous assessments of the impacts of climate change on heat-related mortality use the "delta method" to create temperature projection time series that are applied to temperature-mortality models to estimate future mortality impacts. The delta method means that climate model bias in the modelled present does not influence the temperature projection time series and impacts. However, the delta method assumes that climate change will result only in a change in the mean temperature but there is… CONTINUE READING
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