Corpus ID: 18070163

Citation histories of papers: sometimes the rich get richer, sometimes they don't

@article{Hazoglu2017CitationHO,
  title={Citation histories of papers: sometimes the rich get richer, sometimes they don't},
  author={Michael J. Hazoglu and Vivek Kulkarni and S. Skiena and K. Dill},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={2017},
  volume={abs/1703.04746}
}
We describe a simple model of how a publication's citations change over time, based on pure-birth stochastic processes with a linear cumulative advantage effect. The model is applied to citation data from the Physical Review corpus provided by APS. Our model reveals that papers fall into three different clusters: papers that have rapid initial citations and ultimately high impact (fast-hi), fast to rise but quick to plateau (fast-flat), or late bloomers (slow-late), which may either never… Expand

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