Chaos hides and generates order: An application to forecasting the next eruption of Vesuvius

@inproceedings{Palumbo1997ChaosHA,
  title={Chaos hides and generates order: An application to forecasting the next eruption of Vesuvius},
  author={Andrew Palumbo},
  year={1997}
}
Abstract The poissonian and non-fractal characters generally exhibited by the most intense natural events do not allow the application of the current exponential and power law long-term hazard predictive models, and have suggested searching for a new model. This has been set up also taking into account that the random sequence (representing disorder) of these events is linked to the duration of the stationary small ones (representing order). The model, proposed in terms of the orbit of a simple… CONTINUE READING

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