Changing How Earth System Modeling is Done to Provide More Useful Information for Decision Making, Science, and Society

@article{Smith2014ChangingHE,
  title={Changing How Earth System Modeling is Done to Provide More Useful Information for Decision Making, Science, and Society},
  author={Matthew J. Smith and P. Palmer and D. Purves and Mark C. Vanderwel and Vassily Lyutsarev and B. Calderhead and L. Joppa and C. M. Bishop and S. Emmott},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  year={2014},
  volume={95},
  pages={1453-1464}
}
New details about natural and anthropogenic processes are continually added to models of the Earth system, anticipating that the increased realism will increase the accuracy of their predictions. However, perspectives differ about whether this approach will improve the value of the information the models provide to decision makers, scientists, and societies. The present bias toward increasing realism leads to a range of updated projections, but at the expense of uncertainty quantification and… Expand
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