# Causality and Reasoning: The Monty Hall Dilemma

@inproceedings{Burns2003CausalityAR, title={Causality and Reasoning: The Monty Hall Dilemma}, author={Bruce D. Burns and Mareike Wieth}, year={2003} }

In the Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD) contestants try to choose which of three doors conceals a prize. After selecting a door, one of the other doors is opened by a host who knows where the prize is, but always reveals a dud. Contestants are then asked if they want to stay with their first choice, or switch to the other unopened door? Switching yields a two-thirds chance of winning, but most people have difficulty accepting this answer. Glymour (2001) points out that central to the MHD is a…

## 5 Citations

Smarter and Richer?: Executive Processing and the Monty Hall Dilemma

- Psychology
- 2004

Smarter and Richer?: Executive Processing and the Monty Hall Dilemma Wim De Neys (Wim.Deneys@psy.kuleuven.ac.be) Department of Psychology, K.U.Leuven, Tiensestraat 102 B-3000 Leuven, Belgium…

A randomised Monty Hall experiment: The positive effect of conditional frequency feedback

- Psychology
- 2015

The Monty Hall dilemma (MHD) is a notorious probability problem with a counterintuitive solution. There is a strong tendency to stay with the initial choice, despite the fact that switching doubles…

Helping students understand posterior probabilities: research with a digital learning environment on the Monty Hall dilemma

- Psychology, EducationCogSci
- 2015

The results showed that receiving explanation about the MHD solution was the most important manipulation to improve understanding, and implications for education in (posterior) probability are discussed.

Why Humans Fail in Solving the Monty Hall Dilemma: A Systematic Review

- PsychologyPsychologica Belgica
- 2018

A systematic review of literature published between January 2000 and February 2018 addressing why humans systematically fail to react optimally to the Monty Hall dilemma or fail to understand it is presented.

Inhibitory control in a notorious brain teaser: the Monty Hall dilemma

- Psychology
- 2015

The Monty Hall dilemma (MHD) is a counterintuitive probability problem in which participants often use misleading heuristics, such as the equiprobability bias. Finding the optimal solution to the MHD…

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