Causal beliefs and war termination

  title={Causal beliefs and war termination},
  author={Marco Nilsson},
  journal={Journal of Peace Research},
  pages={106 - 94}
  • Marco Nilsson
  • Published 1 January 2018
  • Political Science
  • Journal of Peace Research
This article analyzes the length of interstate wars and the process of reaching a mutually acceptable bargaining solution. Rational choice scholarship has mainly sought to explain long wars in terms of commitment problems and private information. This article complements these rational choice perspectives by arguing that causal beliefs – a variable not considered by previous research – can also prolong wars by increasing expectations of battlefield performance and slowing down information… 

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