Casualties and Incumbents : Do the Casualties from Interstate Conflicts Affect Incumbent Party Vote Share ?

@inproceedings{Koch2011CasualtiesAI,
  title={Casualties and Incumbents : Do the Casualties from Interstate Conflicts Affect Incumbent Party Vote Share ?},
  author={Michael Koch},
  year={2011}
}
Research suggests that the costs of international conflict (e.g. casualties) alter public opinion, executive approval and policy positions of elected officials. However, do casualties affect voting in terms of aggregate outcomes and individual vote choices? This article examines how casualties from interstate conflicts affect voter behaviour, specifically incumbent vote share. Using the investment model of commitment to model individual vote choice, it is argued that increases in the costs of… CONTINUE READING

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