Campaigning and election outcomes in a presidential primary election

  title={Campaigning and election outcomes in a presidential primary election},
  author={Steven Bednar},
  journal={Applied Economics Letters},
  pages={713 - 717}
  • Steven Bednar
  • Published 2018
  • Political Science
  • Applied Economics Letters
  • ABSTRACT This article presents new evidence from the US presidential primary setting on the role campaigning plays in determining election outcomes. Using candidate visits as a measure of campaign intensity, I estimate a discrete choice model of voting using a differentiated products framework where I allow for abstention and create instruments for campaigning based on Democratic Party rules for delegate allocation. On average, a visit by a candidate increases the vote share of this candidate… CONTINUE READING


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