Calculating Nuclear Accident Probabilities from Empirical Frequencies

  title={Calculating Nuclear Accident Probabilities from Empirical Frequencies},
  author={Venance Journ{\'e}},
  • Venance Journé
  • Published 2014
Since there is no authoritative, comprehensive and public historical record of nuclear power plant accidents, we reconstructed a nuclear accident dataset from peer-reviewed and other literature. We found that, in a sample of five random years, the worldwide historical frequency of a nuclear major accident, defined as an INES level 7 event, is 14%. This value is 67 % to have at least one nuclear accident rated at level ≥ 4 on the INES scale. These numbers are subject to uncertainties because the… CONTINUE READING