CLASSIFICATION OF WEST GERMAN BUSINESS CYCLES 1 by

@inproceedings{Heilemann2004CLASSIFICATIONOW,
  title={CLASSIFICATION OF WEST GERMAN BUSINESS CYCLES 1 by},
  author={Ullrich Heilemann and Heinz Josef Muench},
  year={2004}
}
This paper applies linear discriminant analysis to classify West German business cycles from 1955 to 1994 into a four phase scheme (upswing, downswing, and upper/lower turning point phases). It describes the scheme as well as the selection of the classifying variables, and presents classification results for various sample periods. Special attention is given to changes of the explanatory power of the variables and its implication for changes of West German cycle patterns. 

Citations

Publications citing this paper.

References

Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-7 of 7 references

The business cycle: theories and evidence

  • M T Belongia, M R Garfinkel
  • Proceedings of the Sixteenth Annual Economic…
  • 1992

Authors' computations. -1) LTP: Lower Turning Point; UP: Upswing; UTP: Upper Turning Point; DOWN: Downswing. Misclassified periods are flagged with asterisks. -2) For details

  • Authors' computations. -1) LTP: Lower Turning…
  • 1989

SPSS/PC+ Advanced Statistics and Tables

  • G Brosius
  • SPSS/PC+ Advanced Statistics and Tables
  • 1989

Wandlungen des Konjunkturphaenomens in den letzten hundert Jahren Sitzungsberichte (Phil.-Hist. Klasse) der bayerischen Akademie der Wissenschaften

  • K Borchardt
  • Deutsche Wirtschaftsgeschichte im…
  • 1976

Progress towards economic stability

  • A F Burns
  • American Economic Review
  • 1960

Measuring business cycles 1994-2 LTP LTP .435 .831 UP .157 -.003 1

  • A F Burns, W C Mitchel
  • Measuring business cycles 1994-2 LTP LTP .435…
  • 1947

Economics of business cycles

  • A B Adams
  • Economics of business cycles
  • 1925

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…