Born leaders: political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress

  title={Born leaders: political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress},
  author={Daniel Muller and Lionel Page},
  journal={Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)},
  • Daniel MullerLionel Page
  • Published 1 June 2016
  • Economics
  • Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
We present substantial evidence for the existence of a bias in the distribution of births of leading US politicians in favour of those who were the eldest in their cohort at school. This result adds to the research on the long‐term effects of relative age among peers at school. We discuss parametric and non‐parametric tests to identify this effect, and we show that it is not driven by measurement error, redshirting or a sorting effect of highly educated parents. The magnitude of the effect that… 

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