Biotechnology and the lifetime of technical civilizations

  title={Biotechnology and the lifetime of technical civilizations},
  author={J. Sotos},
  journal={International Journal of Astrobiology},
  pages={445 - 454}
  • J. Sotos
  • Published 2019
  • History, Physics
  • International Journal of Astrobiology
Abstract The number of people able to end Earth's technical civilization has heretofore been small. Emerging dual-use technologies, such as biotechnology, may give similar power to thousands or millions of individuals. To quantitatively investigate the ramifications of such a marked shift on the survival of both terrestrial and extraterrestrial technical civilizations, this paper presents a two-parameter model for civilizational lifespans, i.e. the quantity L in Drake's equation for the number… Expand
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