Biodiversity at risk under future cropland expansion and intensification

  title={Biodiversity at risk under future cropland expansion and intensification},
  author={Laura J. Kehoe and Alfredo Romero‐Mu{\~n}oz and Ester Polaina and Lyndon D. Estes and Holger Kreft and Tobias Kuemmerle},
  journal={Nature Ecology \& Evolution},
Agriculture is the leading driver of biodiversity loss. However, its future impact on biodiversity remains unclear, especially because agricultural intensification is often neglected, and high path-dependency is assumed when forecasting agricultural development—although the past suggests that shock events leading to considerable agricultural change occur frequently. Here, we investigate the possible impacts on biodiversity of pathways of expansion and intensification. Our pathways are not built… 

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