Beliefs about Climate Beliefs: The Importance of Second-Order Opinions for Climate Politics

@article{Mildenberger2017BeliefsAC,
  title={Beliefs about Climate Beliefs: The Importance of Second-Order Opinions for Climate Politics},
  author={Matto Mildenberger and Dustin Tingley},
  journal={British Journal of Political Science},
  year={2017},
  volume={49},
  pages={1279-1307}
}
When political action entails individual costs but group-contingent benefits, political participation may depend on an individual’s perceptions of others’ beliefs; yet detailed empirical attention to these second-order beliefs – beliefs about the beliefs of others – remains rare. We offer the first comprehensive examination of the distribution and content of second-order climate beliefs in the United States and China, drawing from six new opinion surveys of mass publics, political elites and… 

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