Bean Counters: The Effect of Soy Tariffs on Change in Republican Vote Share between the 2016 and 2018 Elections

@article{Chyzh2021BeanCT,
  title={Bean Counters: The Effect of Soy Tariffs on Change in Republican Vote Share between the 2016 and 2018 Elections},
  author={Olga V. Chyzh and R. Urbatsch},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  year={2021},
  volume={83},
  pages={415 - 419}
}
How do trade wars affect voting for the president’s party? President Trump’s aggressive tariffs on China, despite his largely rural electoral support base, provide a unique opportunity to analyze the relationship between international trade policy and domestic support. If trade-related considerations were ever decisive to American voters, the stark decrease in soy prices, a direct effect of Trump-initiated tariffs immediately preceding the 2018 midterm election, serves as a critical test for… 

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