Bayesian data assimilation provides rapid decision support for vector-borne diseases

@article{Jewell2015BayesianDA,
  title={Bayesian data assimilation provides rapid decision support for vector-borne diseases},
  author={Christopher P Jewell and Richard G Brown},
  journal={Journal of The Royal Society Interface},
  year={2015},
  volume={12}
}
Predicting the spread of vector-borne diseases in response to incursions requires knowledge of both host and vector demographics in advance of an outbreak. Although host population data are typically available, for novel disease introductions there is a high chance of the pathogen using a vector for which data are unavailable. This presents a barrier to estimating the parameters of dynamical models representing host–vector–pathogen interaction, and hence limits their ability to provide… 

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