Bayesian Networks and Evidence Theory to Model Complex Systems Reliability

@article{Simon2007BayesianNA,
  title={Bayesian Networks and Evidence Theory to Model Complex Systems Reliability},
  author={Christophe Simon and Philippe Weber and Eric Levrat},
  journal={JCP},
  year={2007},
  volume={2},
  pages={33-43}
}
This paper deals with the use of Bayesian Networks to compute system reliability of complex systems under epistemic uncertainty. In the context of incompleteness of reliability data and inconsistencies between the reliability model and the system modeled, the evidence theory is more suitable to manage this epistemic uncertainty. We propose to adapt the Bayesian Network model of reliability in order to integrate the evidence theory and then to produce an Evidential Network. Three examples are… CONTINUE READING

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