Bandwagon, Underdog, or Projection? Opinion Polls and Electoral Choice in Britain, 1979-1987

@article{McAllister1991BandwagonUO,
  title={Bandwagon, Underdog, or Projection? Opinion Polls and Electoral Choice in Britain, 1979-1987},
  author={Ian McAllister and Donley T. Studlar},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  year={1991},
  volume={53},
  pages={720 - 741}
}
Since the widespread use of opinion polls in British general elections began in the 1950s, there has been continuing controversy concerning their impact on the vote. The bandwagon effect sees voters favoring a party that is doing well in the polls, while the underdog effect predicts that support will go to a party trailing in the polls. There is also the possibility of a projection effect, with voters' expectations conforming to their partisanship. The results presented here, applying logistic… 

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