Avoiding the “Great Filter”: A Projected Timeframe for Human Expansion Off-World

  title={Avoiding the “Great Filter”: A Projected Timeframe for Human Expansion Off-World},
  author={Jonathan H. Jiang and Philip E. Rosen and Kristen Fahy},
A foundational model has been developed based on trends built from empirical data of space exploration and computing power through the first six plus decades of the Space Age which projects earliest possible launch dates for human-crewed missions from cis-lunar space to selected Solar System and interstellar destinations. The model uses computational power, expressed as transistors per microprocessor, as a key broadly limiting factor for deep space missions’ reach and complexity. The goal of… 

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