Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea

  title={Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea},
  author={Henry E. Hale},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  • H. Hale
  • Published 27 September 2021
  • American Political Science Review
When international conflict causes an authoritarian leader’s popularity to soar, extant theories lead us to treat such “rallying” as sincere preference change, the product of surging patriotism or cowed media. This study advances a theory of less-than-fully sincere rallying more appropriate for nondemocratic settings, characterizing it as at least partly reflecting cascading dissembling driven by social desirability concerns. The identification strategy combines a rare nationally representative… 


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