Attribution of Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Variability

  title={Attribution of Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Variability},
  author={J. Wallace and C. Deser and B. V. Smoliak and A. S. Phillips},
  • J. Wallace, C. Deser, +1 author A. S. Phillips
  • Published 2015
  • Environmental Science
  • Spontaneous, internally-generated variability of the climate system is pervasive. On the multidecadal time scale it dominates the variability of surface air temperature averaged over extratropical land areas as large as the contiguous United States, and it modulates the rate of rise of global mean temperature in response to the buildup of greenhouse gases. Unforced variability is one of the factors that imposes limitations on the degree of confidence that can be attached to assessments and… CONTINUE READING
    Wintertime internal climate variability over Eurasia in the CESM large ensemble
    • 7
    • Highly Influenced


    Publications referenced by this paper.
    Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
    • 2,988
    • PDF
    A Pacific Interdecadal Climate Oscillation with Impacts on Salmon Production
    • 5,854
    • PDF
    Global Warming and the Weakening of the Tropical Circulation
    • 956
    • PDF
    The Community Climate System Model Version 4
    • 1,974
    • PDF
    Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
    • 995
    • PDF
    The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
    • 2,244
    • PDF
    Internal variability, external forcing and climate trends in multi-decadal AGCM ensembles
    • 80
    • PDF