Assessment of the population-level effectiveness of the Avahan HIV-prevention programme in South India: a preplanned, causal-pathway-based modelling analysis.

@article{Pickles2013AssessmentOT,
  title={Assessment of the population-level effectiveness of the Avahan HIV-prevention programme in South India: a preplanned, causal-pathway-based modelling analysis.},
  author={Michael Pickles and Marie-Claude Boily and Peter Vickerman and Catherine Lowndes and Stephen S Moses and James Frederick Blanchard and Kathleen Deering and Janet E Bradley and Banadakoppa Manjappa Ramesh and Reynold Washington and Rajatashuvra Adhikary and Mandar Keshav Mainkar and Ramesh Shivram Paranjape and Michel Alary},
  journal={The Lancet. Global health},
  year={2013},
  volume={1 5},
  pages={e289-99}
}
BACKGROUND Avahan, the India AIDS initiative of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, was a large-scale, targeted HIV prevention intervention. We aimed to assess its overall effectiveness by estimating the number and proportion of HIV infections averted across Avahan districts, following the causal pathway of the intervention. METHODS We created a mathematical model of HIV transmission in high-risk groups and the general population using data from serial cross-sectional surveys (integrated… CONTINUE READING