Assessing the present and future probability of Hurricane Harvey’s rainfall

  • Kerry A. Emanuel
  • Published 2017 in
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences…


We estimate, for current and future climates, the annual probability of areally averaged hurricane rain of Hurricane Harvey's magnitude by downscaling large numbers of tropical cyclones from three climate reanalyses and six climate models. For the state of Texas, we estimate that the annual probability of 500 mm of area-integrated rainfall was about 1% in… (More)
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1716222114


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