Assessing the Skill of an All-Season Statistical Forecast Model for the Madden

@inproceedings{Jiang2008AssessingTS,
  title={Assessing the Skill of an All-Season Statistical Forecast Model for the Madden},
  author={Xianan Jiang and Duane Waliser and Matthew C. Wheeler and Charles J V Jones and Myong-In Lee and Siegfried D. Schubert},
  year={2008}
}
Motivated by an attempt to augment dynamical models in predicting the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO), and to provide a realistic benchmark to those models, the predictive skill of a multivariate lagregression statistical model has been comprehensively explored in the present study. The predictors of the benchmark model are the projection time series of the leading pair of EOFs of the combined fields of equatorially averaged outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and zonal winds at 850 and 200 hPa… CONTINUE READING
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