Are “Sleeping Beauties” to be expected?

@article{Burrell2005AreB,
  title={Are “Sleeping Beauties” to be expected?},
  author={Quentin L. Burrell},
  journal={Scientometrics},
  year={2005},
  volume={65},
  pages={381-389}
}
A paper that is little cited ('sleeps') for a long period of time and then becomes much cited ('is awakened'), has been termed by van Raan (2004) a 'Sleeping Beauty', or a paper that was 'ahead of its time'. The inference is that the importance of the paper was not initially recognised, only later was it (re)discovered. On the other hand, much theoretical work in informetrics views the citation process as being purely random - modelled by an appropriate stochastic process. From this point of… CONTINUE READING

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X(s) has a negative binomial distribution with parameter α/(α + C(s)) and index ν. From this it follows, see BURRELL (2003, Theorem 3), that the conditional distribution of Y(s

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