Arctic System Science ( ARCSS ) Program Synthesis Retreat


Alley, R.B., J. Marotzke, W.D. Nordhaus, J.T. Overpeck, D.M. Peteet, R.A. Pielke, Jr., R.T. Pierrehumbert, P.B. Rhines, T.F. Stocker, L.D. Talley and J.M. Wallace. 2003. Abrupt climate change. Science 299: 2005-2010. This paper represents the short version of a 2002 NAS report on abrupt climate change, and makes the case that abrupt change poses the largest potential threat to society in the future, partly because of our current inability to anticipate abrupt climate change with enough detail to be of sufficient use to decision-makers, and also because global climate change may increase the probability of crossing abrupt change thresholds. Greenland Ice Sheet melting and weakened thermohaline circulation change could both occur more rapidly than generally anticipated.

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@inproceedings{Alley2003ArcticSS, title={Arctic System Science ( ARCSS ) Program Synthesis Retreat}, author={Richard Alley and Jochem Marotzke and William Nordhaus and Jonathan T . Overpeck and D M Peteet and Roger A. Pielke and Raymond T Pierrehumbert and Peter B . Rhines and Thomas Stocker and Lynne D Talley and John M. Wallace and Mark C. Serreze and John E. Walsh and F . Stuart Chapin and Tom Osterkamp and Mark B. Dyurgerov and Valery Romanovsky and Walter C. Oechel and James Morison and Tianshu Zhang and Roger G. Barry and Michael Sturm and Donald K. Perovich}, year={2003} }