Integrated analysis of physical and biological pan-arctic change
- J. E. Overland, M. C. Spillane, N. N. Soreide.
- Climatic Change 63: 291-322. This paper discusses…
Alley, R.B., J. Marotzke, W.D. Nordhaus, J.T. Overpeck, D.M. Peteet, R.A. Pielke, Jr., R.T. Pierrehumbert, P.B. Rhines, T.F. Stocker, L.D. Talley and J.M. Wallace. 2003. Abrupt climate change. Science 299: 2005-2010. This paper represents the short version of a 2002 NAS report on abrupt climate change, and makes the case that abrupt change poses the largest potential threat to society in the future, partly because of our current inability to anticipate abrupt climate change with enough detail to be of sufficient use to decision-makers, and also because global climate change may increase the probability of crossing abrupt change thresholds. Greenland Ice Sheet melting and weakened thermohaline circulation change could both occur more rapidly than generally anticipated.