Anticipatory Intelligence and the Post-Syrian War Hezbollah Intelligence Apparatus

@article{Wege2016AnticipatoryIA,
  title={Anticipatory Intelligence and the Post-Syrian War Hezbollah Intelligence Apparatus},
  author={Carl Anthony Wege},
  journal={International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence},
  year={2016},
  volume={29},
  pages={236 - 259}
}
  • Carl Anthony Wege
  • Published 28 January 2016
  • Psychology
  • International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence
Historically, an observer could be forgiven for thinking that the art of fortune telling had been disguised by scientism and sold to national policymakers using descriptions like Estimative Intelligence, Long Range Analysis, and Strategic Futures. Policymakers, even when they should know better, harbor expectations that intelligence organizations should somehow accurately predict future events. The ability to predict phenomena relevant to foreign intelligence in the second half of the twentieth… 
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