An attempt at a new analysis of the mortality caused by smallpox and of the advantages of inoculation to prevent it

@article{Bernoulli2004AnAA,
  title={An attempt at a new analysis of the mortality caused by smallpox and of the advantages of inoculation to prevent it},
  author={Daniel Bernoulli and Sally M. Blower},
  journal={Reviews in Medical Virology},
  year={2004},
  volume={14}
}
‘I simply wish that, in a matter which so closelyconcerns the wellbeing of the human race, no deci-sion shall be made without all the knowledge whicha little analysis and calculation can provide’Daniel Bernoulli 1760.INTRODUCTIONShould the general population be vaccinatedagainst smallpox (Variola Major)? Would the bene-fits of mass vaccination outweigh the risks? Howmany deaths would occur as the result of a massvaccination campaign against smallpox? Canmathematical models of smallpox… 

The prevention and eradication of smallpox: a commentary on Sloane (1755) ‘An account of inoculation’

  • R. WeissJ. Esparza
  • Medicine
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
  • 2015
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