# An analysis of Bayesian estimates for missing higher orders in perturbative calculations

@article{Duhr2021AnAO, title={An analysis of Bayesian estimates for missing higher orders in perturbative calculations}, author={Claude Duhr and Alexander Huss and Aleksas Mazeliauskas and Robert Szafron}, journal={Journal of High Energy Physics}, year={2021}, volume={2021} }

With current high precision collider data, the reliable estimation of theoretical uncertainties due to missing higher orders (MHOs) in perturbation theory has become a pressing issue for collider phenomenology. Traditionally, the size of the MHOs is estimated through scale variation, a simple but ad hoc method without probabilistic interpretation. Bayesian approaches provide a compelling alternative to estimate the size of the MHOs, but it is not clear how to interpret the perturbative scales…

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