An alternative to radiative forcing for estimating the relative importance of climate change mechanisms

  title={An alternative to radiative forcing for estimating the relative importance of climate change mechanisms},
  author={Keith P. Shine and Jolene Cook and Eleanor J. Highwood and Manoj M. Joshi},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
Radiative forcing is widely used to measure the relative efficacy of climate change mechanisms. Earlier general circulation model (GCM) experiments showed that the global‐mean radiative forcing could be used to predict, with useful accuracy, the consequent global‐mean surface temperature change regardless of whether the forcing was due to, for example, changes in greenhouse gases or solar output. More recent experiments indicate that for changes in absorbing aerosols and ozone, the predictive… 

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